Three Line Tales: The Monty Hall Problem #amwriting #mathsucks #3LineTales


Thanks to Sonya of Only 100 Words for hosting #3LineTales. Sorry, a bit of cheat with this one, but I couldn’t get the idea out of my head for the photograph. I think it’s 4 or 5 sentences. But who’s counting. 😉


Credit: Jerry Kiesewetter via Unsplash


Say, there’s a million dollars in one green box (ignore the yellow boxes), and there’s Monopoly money in all the other green boxes, but you don’t know what green box has the million dollars, and what boxes have Monopoly money.

You select green box number 7 as the box (you guess) has the million dollars, but it’s also revealed that in green box number 2, there’s only Monopoly money; do you choose a different green box or stay with green box number 7?

Many people would say, there’s a 50/50 chance your first choice is the correct green box with the million dollars, but they’d likely be wrong, and here’s why: There was a 3/4 (75 %) chance of you choosing a box with Monopoly money, and there’s still 1/2 (50 %) chance of you choosing the Monopoly money, when green box number 2 is revealed. There’s only 1/4 (25 %) chance of you choosing the million dollars; therefore, you should change your green box selection because there is a greater probability you were, initially, wrong choosing green box number 7, than choosing the green box that contained the million dollars.


Maybe some of you have heard of this? It’s called ‘The Monty Hall Problem.’ Check out the video here: The Math Question that Has Stumped Thousands of ‘ManSplainers.’ Apparently, men have greater trouble understanding this reasoning than women. What do you think?


©Mandibelle16. (2018) All Rights Reserved.

Advertisements

10 thoughts on “Three Line Tales: The Monty Hall Problem #amwriting #mathsucks #3LineTales

    • mandibelle16 March 17, 2018 / 12:31 am

      It’s hard to explain. I linked to the video at the bottom. It does a better job 🙂

      Liked by 1 person

  1. clcouch123 March 16, 2018 / 11:36 am

    I appreciate your sharing this conundrum and so clearly. I don’t know which box I’d pick. I need womensplaining. Which should be a (good) thing. I hope you’re really well. I have another operation next week. I’d be grateful for a prayer. Thanks.

    Liked by 1 person

    • mandibelle16 March 17, 2018 / 12:29 am

      Hi Christopher. Thanks for reading. I guess womansplaining gets ignored. It’s called nagging apparently lol. I will pray for you as always. I commented on one of your other pieces too. I hope the operation goes well Christopher and that it helps you be stronger, to be able to do what you love in life. 🙏🏻😊 🤗

      Like

    • mandibelle16 March 20, 2018 / 2:51 pm

      Thanks Rosema. It plays with your mind, whether you like math or not lol. To me after watching the video I embedded, it made so much sense. Like an ‘Aha’ moment.

      Liked by 1 person

I’d Love to Hear From You. Feel Free to Share Your Thoughts!

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s